GMS location: 353

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.048 0.328 0.434 1.920 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.048 0.291 0.402 1.990 0.468 3.185
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.031 0.307 0.423 1.863 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.984 0.031 0.256 0.376 2.063 0.451 3.764
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.354 0.407 3.397 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.326 0.372 3.575 0.501 4.637
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.059 0.305 0.407 1.680 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.059 0.280 0.386 1.536 0.467 3.346
baseline all 0.991 0.032 0.324 0.419 3.397 NaN NaN
forest all 0.993 0.032 0.288 0.385 3.575 0.471 3.678

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.048 0.328 0.434 1.920 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.048 0.307 0.414 1.993 0.547 4.499
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.031 0.307 0.423 1.863 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.975 0.000e+00 0.281 0.398 1.891 0.511 3.394
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.354 0.407 3.397 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.357 0.389 3.826 0.554 4.601
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.059 0.305 0.407 1.680 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.059 0.342 0.425 1.815 0.514 3.721
baseline all 0.991 0.032 0.324 0.419 3.397 NaN NaN
elr all 0.991 0.021 0.321 0.408 3.826 0.533 4.082

Extended logistic regression plots

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