GMS location: 352

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.356 0.462 1.630 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.062 0.264 0.385 1.687 0.437 4.850
baseline winter 2017 0.960 0.037 0.347 0.453 2.529 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.984 0.000e+00 0.247 0.372 1.974 0.456 5.796
baseline winter 2018 0.982 0.000e+00 0.281 0.404 1.765 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.982 0.000e+00 0.199 0.330 1.425 0.450 4.489
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.262 0.378 1.586 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.182 0.201 0.340 1.521 0.437 4.344
baseline all 0.983 0.013 0.315 0.427 2.529 NaN NaN
forest all 0.991 0.038 0.231 0.359 1.974 0.444 4.871

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.356 0.462 1.630 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.252 0.393 1.757 0.498 5.234
baseline winter 2017 0.960 0.037 0.347 0.453 2.529 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.976 0.037 0.262 0.391 2.110 0.511 5.845
baseline winter 2018 0.982 0.000e+00 0.281 0.404 1.765 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.982 0.080 0.240 0.393 1.446 0.525 5.299
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.262 0.378 1.586 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.980 0.091 0.200 0.342 1.864 0.518 5.159
baseline all 0.983 0.013 0.315 0.427 2.529 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.051 0.239 0.380 2.110 0.512 5.371

Extended logistic regression plots

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