GMS location: 254

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.167 0.303 0.413 2.002 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.983 0.125 0.260 0.383 1.643 0.538 5.388
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.095 0.432 0.472 2.351 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.973 0.095 0.360 0.445 2.003 0.525 6.185
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.061 0.393 0.462 1.957 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.967 0.061 0.326 0.444 1.808 0.541 3.989
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.283 0.371 1.820 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.216 0.332 1.521 0.540 4.561
baseline all 0.983 0.087 0.349 0.429 2.351 NaN NaN
forest all 0.978 0.078 0.288 0.400 2.003 0.536 4.998

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.167 0.303 0.413 2.002 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.983 0.125 0.305 0.428 1.772 0.570 4.462
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.095 0.432 0.472 2.351 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.955 0.095 0.389 0.467 2.229 0.561 4.927
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.061 0.393 0.462 1.957 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.967 0.061 0.367 0.477 2.044 0.608 5.188
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.283 0.371 1.820 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.230 0.356 1.657 0.626 4.587
baseline all 0.983 0.087 0.349 0.429 2.351 NaN NaN
elr all 0.975 0.078 0.321 0.432 2.229 0.591 4.780

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)