GMS location: 210

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.313 0.427 1.740 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.264 0.390 1.414 0.496 5.173
baseline winter 2017 0.941 0.057 0.439 0.491 2.250 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.949 0.086 0.376 0.453 2.330 0.484 5.206
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.138 0.305 0.420 1.638 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.138 0.253 0.384 1.550 0.500 3.417
baseline winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.286 0.401 1.767 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.206 0.335 1.360 0.481 3.415
baseline all 0.979 0.062 0.335 0.435 2.250 NaN NaN
forest all 0.979 0.073 0.276 0.392 2.330 0.491 4.358

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.313 0.427 1.740 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.283 0.415 1.434 0.563 6.002
baseline winter 2017 0.941 0.057 0.439 0.491 2.250 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.057 0.360 0.454 2.147 0.536 6.265
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.138 0.305 0.420 1.638 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.103 0.269 0.400 1.986 0.567 5.491
baseline winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.286 0.401 1.767 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.194 0.332 1.732 0.542 4.671
baseline all 0.979 0.062 0.335 0.435 2.250 NaN NaN
elr all 0.984 0.052 0.280 0.403 2.147 0.554 5.661

Extended logistic regression plots

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