GMS location: 1432

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.100 0.430 0.475 2.502 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.100 0.352 0.421 2.215 0.544 3.311
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.049 0.486 0.493 3.169 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.024 0.416 0.454 2.330 0.542 3.612
baseline winter 2018 0.947 0.094 0.439 0.482 2.274 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.939 0.031 0.380 0.467 2.044 0.559 3.526
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.305 0.409 1.717 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.270 0.394 1.488 0.562 3.353
baseline all 0.985 0.070 0.415 0.465 3.169 NaN NaN
forest all 0.980 0.043 0.353 0.432 2.330 0.551 3.438

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.100 0.430 0.475 2.502 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.167 0.375 0.469 2.084 0.625 3.813
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.049 0.486 0.493 3.169 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.991 0.000e+00 0.449 0.482 2.437 0.564 3.677
baseline winter 2018 0.947 0.094 0.439 0.482 2.274 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.947 0.031 0.437 0.510 1.911 0.630 4.391
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.305 0.409 1.717 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.267 0.415 1.458 0.618 3.628
baseline all 0.985 0.070 0.415 0.465 3.169 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.052 0.380 0.468 2.437 0.610 3.866

Extended logistic regression plots

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