GMS location: 1238

• Random forest results
• Random forest plots
• Extended logistic regression results
• Extended logistic regression plots

Random forest results

names	period	power	significance	meanSquareError	absError	maxError	CRPS	IGN
baseline	winter 2018	0.973	0.000e+00	0.284	0.387	1.987	NaN	NaN
forest	winter 2018	1.000	0.000e+00	0.305	0.434	1.913	0.461	3.763
baseline	winter 2019	0.983	0.071	0.314	0.415	2.013	NaN	NaN
forest	winter 2019	0.991	0.000e+00	0.316	0.420	1.912	0.486	3.104
baseline	all	0.980	0.030	0.305	0.407	2.013	NaN	NaN
forest	all	0.993	0.000e+00	0.312	0.424	1.913	0.478	3.304

Random forest plots

Extended logistic regression results

names	period	power	significance	meanSquareError	absError	maxError	CRPS	IGN
baseline	winter 2018	0.973	0.000e+00	0.284	0.387	1.987	NaN	NaN
elr	winter 2018	1.000	0.000e+00	0.333	0.450	1.745	0.592	7.808
baseline	winter 2019	0.983	0.071	0.314	0.415	2.013	NaN	NaN
elr	winter 2019	0.965	0.000e+00	0.351	0.441	1.872	0.629	1.843e+01
baseline	all	0.980	0.030	0.305	0.407	2.013	NaN	NaN
elr	all	0.974	0.000e+00	0.346	0.444	1.872	0.618	1.520e+01

Extended logistic regression plots