GMS location: 1224

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.057 0.355 0.445 1.928 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.057 0.274 0.378 1.859 0.468 3.244
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.071 0.469 0.498 2.259 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.071 0.352 0.441 1.775 0.482 4.679
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.079 0.391 0.465 2.463 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.105 0.327 0.429 2.136 0.477 3.293
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.274 0.396 1.404 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.201 0.334 1.333 0.466 3.159
baseline all 0.989 0.064 0.371 0.451 2.463 NaN NaN
forest all 0.991 0.072 0.289 0.396 2.136 0.473 3.559

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.057 0.355 0.445 1.928 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.994 0.057 0.287 0.405 1.662 0.526 3.704
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.071 0.469 0.498 2.259 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.964 0.167 0.435 0.495 1.946 0.524 4.615
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.079 0.391 0.465 2.463 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.979 0.105 0.367 0.462 2.214 0.557 4.839
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.274 0.396 1.404 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.100 0.264 0.390 1.407 0.532 3.641
baseline all 0.989 0.064 0.371 0.451 2.463 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.112 0.336 0.437 2.214 0.535 4.192

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)