GMS location: 1203

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.982 0.094 0.419 0.477 2.395 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.062 0.319 0.410 2.167 0.479 2.207
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.029 0.722 0.620 2.681 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 1.000 0.029 0.533 0.533 2.140 0.481 2.929
baseline winter 2018 0.971 0.143 0.352 0.431 2.657 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.978 0.071 0.339 0.447 2.435 0.503 1.945
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.314 0.398 1.900 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.268 0.380 1.638 0.496 2.042
baseline all 0.985 0.085 0.447 0.480 2.681 NaN NaN
forest all 0.991 0.057 0.361 0.441 2.435 0.490 2.266

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.982 0.094 0.419 0.477 2.395 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.982 0.094 0.356 0.466 2.200 0.582 3.718
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.029 0.722 0.620 2.681 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.991 0.029 0.642 0.588 2.406 0.538 3.983
baseline winter 2018 0.971 0.143 0.352 0.431 2.657 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.978 0.036 0.378 0.487 2.178 0.587 3.746
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.314 0.398 1.900 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.339 0.438 1.718 0.567 3.425
baseline all 0.985 0.085 0.447 0.480 2.681 NaN NaN
elr all 0.987 0.057 0.422 0.493 2.406 0.570 3.720

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)