GMS location: 111

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.125 0.389 0.471 2.508 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.083 0.289 0.403 2.474 0.427 2.665
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.053 0.529 0.516 2.877 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.991 0.026 0.361 0.423 2.162 0.440 3.199
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.040 0.331 0.418 2.502 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.080 0.289 0.393 2.460 0.422 2.860
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.305 0.405 1.626 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.231 0.369 1.334 0.421 2.884
baseline all 0.988 0.065 0.389 0.455 2.877 NaN NaN
forest all 0.995 0.054 0.294 0.398 2.474 0.427 2.880

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.125 0.389 0.471 2.508 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.984 0.083 0.316 0.423 2.821 0.489 3.434
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.053 0.529 0.516 2.877 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.982 0.053 0.406 0.463 2.266 0.475 3.452
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.040 0.331 0.418 2.502 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.986 0.080 0.320 0.420 2.752 0.478 3.376
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.305 0.405 1.626 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.280 0.421 1.626 0.469 2.970
baseline all 0.988 0.065 0.389 0.455 2.877 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.065 0.331 0.431 2.821 0.479 3.333

Extended logistic regression plots

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