GMS location: 109

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.982 0.042 0.293 0.400 2.072 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.042 0.246 0.353 2.106 0.453 3.644
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.023 0.466 0.494 2.007 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.991 0.046 0.324 0.408 1.760 0.450 2.872
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.077 0.333 0.428 2.602 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.077 0.249 0.357 2.470 0.448 3.529
baseline winter 2019 0.979 0.067 0.368 0.444 1.968 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.067 0.258 0.385 1.385 0.434 2.779
baseline all 0.982 0.046 0.360 0.439 2.602 NaN NaN
forest all 0.993 0.056 0.267 0.374 2.470 0.447 3.237

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.982 0.042 0.293 0.400 2.072 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.982 0.042 0.266 0.388 1.782 0.506 3.824
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.023 0.466 0.494 2.007 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.973 0.023 0.386 0.447 1.831 0.492 4.066
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.077 0.333 0.428 2.602 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.038 0.265 0.375 2.337 0.506 3.627
baseline winter 2019 0.979 0.067 0.368 0.444 1.968 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.067 0.323 0.446 1.690 0.478 3.608
baseline all 0.982 0.046 0.360 0.439 2.602 NaN NaN
elr all 0.984 0.037 0.306 0.411 2.337 0.496 3.777

Extended logistic regression plots

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