GMS location: 106

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.042 0.377 0.442 2.287 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.264 0.375 2.161 0.472 4.304
baseline winter 2017 0.979 0.097 0.523 0.535 2.740 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.989 0.065 0.336 0.418 2.049 0.459 4.169
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.125 0.384 0.471 1.963 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.979 0.094 0.288 0.387 2.275 0.473 3.599
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.285 0.404 2.203 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.204 0.338 1.295 0.455 2.953
baseline all 0.989 0.082 0.384 0.458 2.740 NaN NaN
forest all 0.988 0.051 0.270 0.377 2.275 0.466 3.767

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.042 0.377 0.442 2.287 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.994 0.042 0.297 0.422 2.077 0.550 5.539
baseline winter 2017 0.979 0.097 0.523 0.535 2.740 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.979 0.065 0.357 0.436 2.279 0.512 4.691
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.125 0.384 0.471 1.963 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.094 0.309 0.428 2.320 0.546 4.464
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.285 0.404 2.203 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.243 0.383 1.418 0.525 4.667
baseline all 0.989 0.082 0.384 0.458 2.740 NaN NaN
elr all 0.991 0.061 0.298 0.417 2.320 0.536 4.885

Extended logistic regression plots

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