GMS location: 105

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.355 0.412 3.296 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.000e+00 0.296 0.379 2.977 0.505 3.542
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.071 0.435 0.477 2.288 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.071 0.331 0.418 1.893 0.501 6.277
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.108 0.377 0.441 2.302 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.962 0.081 0.355 0.434 2.307 0.510 3.770
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.083 0.272 0.368 1.652 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.196 0.323 1.474 0.498 4.038
baseline all 0.989 0.065 0.362 0.426 3.296 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.057 0.299 0.391 2.977 0.504 4.333

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.355 0.412 3.296 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.289 0.407 2.073 0.596 4.983
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.071 0.435 0.477 2.288 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.973 0.048 0.332 0.422 1.997 0.536 4.114
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.108 0.377 0.441 2.302 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.977 0.054 0.310 0.425 2.224 0.597 5.562
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.083 0.272 0.368 1.652 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.222 0.373 1.486 0.548 3.916
baseline all 0.989 0.065 0.362 0.426 3.296 NaN NaN
elr all 0.989 0.040 0.291 0.408 2.224 0.573 4.714

Extended logistic regression plots

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