GMS location: 104

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.065 0.322 0.424 1.800 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.032 0.243 0.359 1.966 0.443 4.121
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.075 0.582 0.532 3.474 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.050 0.381 0.421 3.246 0.451 6.226
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.091 0.360 0.446 2.112 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.091 0.290 0.407 1.958 0.444 4.408
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.316 0.394 1.804 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.212 0.340 1.389 0.447 4.071
baseline all 0.986 0.068 0.388 0.447 3.474 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.051 0.279 0.381 3.246 0.446 4.650

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.065 0.322 0.424 1.800 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.988 0.032 0.283 0.407 1.900 0.505 3.483
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.075 0.582 0.532 3.474 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.964 0.075 0.424 0.467 2.539 0.513 4.639
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.091 0.360 0.446 2.112 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.091 0.329 0.441 2.325 0.512 3.936
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.316 0.394 1.804 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.248 0.398 1.569 0.516 3.835
baseline all 0.986 0.068 0.388 0.447 3.474 NaN NaN
elr all 0.982 0.060 0.318 0.427 2.539 0.511 3.937

Extended logistic regression plots

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