GMS location: 1005

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.133 0.308 0.424 1.660 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.067 0.274 0.403 1.790 0.558 5.933
baseline winter 2017 0.990 0.143 0.483 0.468 3.585 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.970 0.143 0.399 0.432 3.221 0.579 5.975
baseline winter 2018 0.994 0.120 0.280 0.401 1.720 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.975 0.120 0.227 0.342 1.790 0.563 3.546
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.222 0.327 1.770 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.974 0.000e+00 0.239 0.354 1.798 0.612 4.432
baseline all 0.993 0.116 0.312 0.402 3.585 NaN NaN
forest all 0.982 0.101 0.276 0.380 3.221 0.576 4.930

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.133 0.308 0.424 1.660 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.067 0.289 0.420 1.794 0.636 6.506
baseline winter 2017 0.990 0.143 0.483 0.468 3.585 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.960 0.143 0.430 0.476 3.123 0.673 9.299
baseline winter 2018 0.994 0.120 0.280 0.401 1.720 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.981 0.080 0.243 0.373 1.709 0.618 5.609
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.222 0.327 1.770 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.234 0.351 1.809 0.639 5.311
baseline all 0.993 0.116 0.312 0.402 3.585 NaN NaN
elr all 0.983 0.087 0.289 0.401 3.123 0.638 6.484

Extended logistic regression plots

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