GMS location: 1003

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.176 0.341 0.428 1.969 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.984 0.176 0.292 0.402 1.720 0.474 2.726
baseline winter 2017 0.976 0.000e+00 0.459 0.457 2.501 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.976 0.038 0.344 0.412 2.314 0.496 4.290
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.143 0.329 0.446 1.766 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.095 0.231 0.375 1.293 0.471 2.376
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.143 0.354 0.441 1.669 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.992 0.143 0.271 0.397 1.715 0.470 2.747
baseline all 0.985 0.103 0.368 0.442 2.501 NaN NaN
forest all 0.985 0.103 0.284 0.396 2.314 0.477 2.997

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.176 0.341 0.428 1.969 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.984 0.118 0.313 0.428 1.645 0.548 4.260
baseline winter 2017 0.976 0.000e+00 0.459 0.457 2.501 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.984 0.000e+00 0.374 0.463 2.035 0.564 5.419
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.143 0.329 0.446 1.766 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.095 0.266 0.401 1.518 0.541 3.689
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.143 0.354 0.441 1.669 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.984 0.143 0.317 0.452 1.772 0.527 3.929
baseline all 0.985 0.103 0.368 0.442 2.501 NaN NaN
elr all 0.987 0.077 0.316 0.434 2.035 0.545 4.308

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)