GMS location: 1002

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.154 0.333 0.404 2.541 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.385 0.308 0.404 2.638 0.455 2.474
baseline winter 2017 0.977 0.000e+00 0.340 0.408 2.181 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.977 0.043 0.294 0.401 1.947 0.465 3.182
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.286 0.316 0.422 2.018 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.286 0.275 0.388 1.970 0.449 2.478
baseline winter 2019 1.000 NaN 0.342 0.414 1.499 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 NaN 0.294 0.353 1.653 0.415 2.097
baseline all 0.987 0.120 0.330 0.411 2.541 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.200 0.293 0.396 2.638 0.454 2.667

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.154 0.333 0.404 2.541 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.994 0.154 0.326 0.407 2.655 0.511 4.060
baseline winter 2017 0.977 0.000e+00 0.340 0.408 2.181 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.985 0.087 0.349 0.448 1.898 0.502 3.391
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.286 0.316 0.422 2.018 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.286 0.322 0.421 2.324 0.476 2.849
baseline winter 2019 1.000 NaN 0.342 0.414 1.499 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 NaN 0.263 0.383 1.272 0.442 2.609
baseline all 0.987 0.120 0.330 0.411 2.541 NaN NaN
elr all 0.992 0.160 0.329 0.423 2.655 0.495 3.432

Extended logistic regression plots

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