GMS location: 1001

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.000e+00 0.415 0.451 2.514 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.978 0.042 0.369 0.431 2.093 0.474 2.693
baseline winter 2017 0.964 0.062 1.191 0.558 9.933 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.062 1.081 0.522 9.773 0.457 3.271
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.133 0.330 0.430 1.832 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.167 0.332 0.421 2.306 0.511 2.451
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.361 0.433 2.214 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.043 0.304 0.397 1.776 0.486 2.166
baseline all 0.985 0.055 0.542 0.463 9.933 NaN NaN
forest all 0.986 0.083 0.492 0.440 9.773 0.483 2.628

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.000e+00 0.415 0.451 2.514 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.978 0.000e+00 0.432 0.485 2.098 0.523 3.251
baseline winter 2017 0.964 0.062 1.191 0.558 9.933 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.964 0.031 1.093 0.545 9.682 0.534 3.573
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.133 0.330 0.430 1.832 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.100 0.326 0.421 2.211 0.542 2.677
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.361 0.433 2.214 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.338 0.423 1.806 0.567 2.961
baseline all 0.985 0.055 0.542 0.463 9.933 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.037 0.520 0.467 9.682 0.540 3.102

Extended logistic regression plots

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